Pre-tourney Rankings
Patriot League
2018-19


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
136 Colgate 100.0%   15   23 - 10 13 - 5 23 - 10 13 - 5 +2.3      +3.8 75 -1.5 215 66.5 237 +2.7 129 +1.4 2
146 Bucknell 0.0%   21 - 12 13 - 5 21 - 12 13 - 5 +1.5      +1.1 145 +0.4 155 74.9 53 +2.0 138 +1.5 1
175 Lehigh 0.0%   20 - 11 12 - 6 20 - 11 12 - 6 -0.9      +3.1 94 -3.9 276 76.9 30 +1.3 147 +0.3 3
204 American 0.0%   15 - 15 9 - 9 15 - 15 9 - 9 -2.6      -1.7 226 -0.9 192 66.4 240 -5.0 240 -3.7 4
240 Boston University 0.0%   14 - 18 7 - 11 14 - 18 7 - 11 -4.5      0.0 179 -4.5 291 66.7 235 -4.8 236 -6.2 9
242 Army 0.0%   12 - 19 8 - 10 12 - 19 8 - 10 -5.0      -5.6 308 +0.6 150 73.5 70 -6.1 265 -4.8 6
243 Holy Cross 0.0%   16 - 17 6 - 12 16 - 17 6 - 12 -5.0      -2.2 244 -2.8 253 61.4 334 -2.9 204 -7.6 10
273 Loyola Maryland 0.0%   11 - 21 7 - 11 11 - 21 7 - 11 -6.4      -2.3 247 -4.1 281 71.1 117 -7.0 277 -6.0 8
281 Navy 0.0%   12 - 19 8 - 10 12 - 19 8 - 10 -6.9      -4.7 294 -2.1 235 67.2 220 -5.1 242 -4.6 5
299 Lafayette 0.0%   9 - 20 7 - 11 9 - 20 7 - 11 -8.1      -2.0 240 -6.1 328 71.0 119 -7.8 288 -5.8 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Colgate 1.0 100.0
Bucknell 1.0 100.0
Lehigh 3.0 100.0
American 4.0 100.0
Boston University 7.0 100.0
Army 5.0 100.0
Holy Cross 10.0 100.0
Loyola Maryland 7.0 100.0
Navy 5.0 100.0
Lafayette 7.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Colgate 13 - 5 100.0
Bucknell 13 - 5 100.0
Lehigh 12 - 6 100.0
American 9 - 9 100.0
Boston University 7 - 11 100.0
Army 8 - 10 100.0
Holy Cross 6 - 12 100.0
Loyola Maryland 7 - 11 100.0
Navy 8 - 10 100.0
Lafayette 7 - 11 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Colgate 100.0% 100.0
Bucknell 100.0% 100.0
Lehigh
American
Boston University
Army
Holy Cross
Loyola Maryland
Navy
Lafayette


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Colgate 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15   0.1 10.5 88.6 0.9
Bucknell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Lehigh 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
American 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Boston University 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Army 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Holy Cross 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Loyola Maryland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Navy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Lafayette 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Colgate 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 4.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bucknell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lehigh 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
American 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Boston University 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Army 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Holy Cross 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Loyola Maryland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Navy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lafayette 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 4.7% 0.0 95.3 4.7
Sweet Sixteen 0.7% 0.0 99.3 0.7
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0